Aggregating probabilistic predictions of the safety, efficacy, and timing of a COVID-19 vaccine

To support public health decision making, we solicited trained forecasters and experts in vaccinology and infectious disease to provide monthly probabilistic predictions from July to September of 2020 of the efficacy, safety, timing, and delivery of a COVID-19 vaccine.

April 2022 · Thomas C McAndrew, Juan Cambeiro, Tamay Besiroglu